Why I Stopped Predicting Price and Started Buying Optionality
Five years of trying to predict price direction. One day to realize I was asking the wrong question. I spent five years predicting crypto price direction. Up or down. Long or short. This time will be different. It never was. Then I understood something: I don’t need to be right. I need to bet at the right time. That’s the logic behind deep out-of-the-money options. Normal trading: predict direction, lose if wrong. ...