Options

Fear & Greed = 11. Bitcoin at $62,873. Here’s what the data shows. February 5, 2026. Fear & Greed Index: 11. Extreme Fear. Most people were selling. Bitcoin was at $62,873. If you had bought a 10% out-of-the-money call option that day — 7 days later Bitcoin hit $70,290. An 11.7% move. That option returned +4,991%. This Isn’t Luck. It’s a System. I backtested 400 days of data. Strategy: when Fear & Greed < 20 + large liquidation event happen simultaneously, buy 10% OTM options, hold 7 days. ...

Not a tutorial. Not an ad. Just what actually happened today. This morning I asked myself one question: Can I build a complete options signal system using only free data? By tonight, the answer is yes. The Data — All Free Deribit public API (no account needed): Historical implied volatility Full options chain with Greeks Max Pain calculation Bybit public API: Historical price data Funding rates Alternative.me: Fear & Greed Index — history back to 2018 CoinGlass (paid, but data already downloaded): ...

Five years of trying to predict price direction. One day to realize I was asking the wrong question. I spent five years predicting crypto price direction. Up or down. Long or short. This time will be different. It never was. Then I understood something: I don’t need to be right. I need to bet at the right time. That’s the logic behind deep out-of-the-money options. Normal trading: predict direction, lose if wrong. ...