Trading

Everyone obsesses over entries. Which indicator. Which model. Which signal threshold. Entries get you into a trade. Exits determine what you keep. I spent more engineering time on my exit system than my entry model. Here’s why — and how it’s structured. Why Exits Are Harder An entry is a single decision: does this bar look like a long or a short? An exit is an ongoing negotiation between multiple objectives: ...

Five years of trying to predict price direction. One day to realize I was asking the wrong question. I spent five years predicting crypto price direction. Up or down. Long or short. This time will be different. It never was. Then I understood something: I don’t need to be right. I need to bet at the right time. That’s the logic behind deep out-of-the-money options. Normal trading: predict direction, lose if wrong. ...